On Friday, August 16th, it was reported that Belarusian Defense Minister Viktor Khrenin had said there was “a high probability of an armed provocation from neighboring Ukraine and that the situation at their shared border ‘remains tense,’ [according to] the state-run Belta news agency . . .” [Lucy Papachristou, Reuters, August 16, 2024.]

He further stated, “. . . given the presence of Ukrainian armed formations in the border areas, there is a high probability of preparing and carrying out armed provocations on our territory, as well as high-profile actions, including with the involvement of Belarusian nationalist formations.” [Reuters, id.]

Belarusian President Lukashenko had said on the previous day that Ukraine could attack Belarus and widen the war. This comment came a little more than a week after Ukraine’s surprise counterattack across Russia’s border into the Kursk region.

Do they really have evidence that Ukraine might be planning to spread its troops that thin? Is Lukashenko — one of Vladimir Putin’s most ardent henchmen — simply looking for an excuse to jump with both feet into his idol’s war? Or is it just another propaganda ploy engineered by Putin himself for some as-yet-unknown reason?

For Lukashenko, any of these theories would be within the realm of possibility. I know nothing about Defense Minister Khrenin, but I presume he just follows orders like a good little sycophant.

In any event, thus far Ukraine doesn’t seem to have given any indication of an intention to go anywhere near Belarus’ territory. So perhaps Lukashenko and Khrenin should stop looking for a fight like bullies on a playground, and try to de-escalate, for once.

Just sayin’ . . .

Brendochka
8/18/24

For the third time, they have removed a post of mine — most of which are based strictly on news items of the day — on the grounds that they believe I have “tried to get likes, follows, shares, or video views in a misleading way.”

The first two times, I requested a review, but never heard back.

With all of the crap that appears on FB every day (amongst all of the legitimate, interesting posts), I am frustrated beyond belief at these arbitrary decisions, and my inability to do anything about them. What can possibly be “misleading” about a commentary on the news?

Therefore, I should appreciate the person or persons at Facebook reading my posts and making these judgments contacting me with a logical explanation. Otherwise, I quit.

I will continue to write my blog, even though most of my readership has been following me through FB. You will still be able to find me here, at http://www.brendochka.com.

Now I’m going to post this on Facebook and wait for a response.

Thanks for reading,

Brendochka
8/18/24

On Friday, August 16th, it was reported that Belarusian Defense Minister Viktor Khrenin had said there was “a high probability of an armed provocation from neighboring Ukraine and that the situation at their shared border ‘remains tense,’ [according to] the state-run Belta news agency . . .” [Lucy Papachristou, Reuters, August 16, 2024.]

He further stated, “. . . given the presence of Ukrainian armed formations in the border areas, there is a high probability of preparing and carrying out armed provocations on our territory, as well as high-profile actions, including with the involvement of Belarusian nationalist formations.” [Reuters, id.]

Belarusian President Lukashenko had said on the previous day that Ukraine could attack Belarus and widen the war. This comment came a little more than a week after Ukraine’s surprise counterattack across Russia’s border into the Kursk region.

Do they really have evidence that Ukraine might be planning to spread its troops that thin? Is Lukashenko — one of Vladimir Putin’s most ardent henchmen — simply looking for an excuse to jump with both feet into his idol’s war? Or is it just another propaganda ploy engineered by Putin himself for some as-yet-unknown reason?

For Lukashenko, any of these theories would be within the realm of possibility. I know nothing about Defense Minister Khrenin, but I presume he just follows orders like a good little sycophant.

In any event, thus far Ukraine doesn’t seem to have given any indication of an intention to go anywhere near Belarus’ territory. So perhaps Lukashenko and Khrenin should stop looking for a fight like bullies on a playground, and try to de-escalate, for once.

Just sayin’ . . .

Brendochka
8/18/24

Looking back at August 17th in earlier years, I’m beginning to think it might be a good day to stay indoors, and preferably under the covers . . . or in the safe room, if you’re lucky enough to have one. Because there seems to have been a good bit of death and destruction on this date in the past. Such as . . .

1841: President Tyler is burned in effigy outside the White House. No, no, no, people! Don’t get any bright ideas from this. Put aside your political views and your anger, because today — in 2024 — that would be illegal in so many ways! Go to your local gym and take it out on the punching bag instead — it’s so much healthier, safer, and not likely to get you thrown into the slammer.

1862: U.S.-Dakota War begins in Minnesota. After six weeks, the starved and frustrated Dakota tribe was defeated by the U.S. military. (“He who has the most guns . . .”) The warriors were tried, some in proceedings that only lasted minutes, and were the victims of the largest mass execution ever in the United States. Not one of our nation’s finest moments.

1877: Billy the Kid kills his first man. In a classic case of an out-of-control teenager, Billy got an early start on his road to notoriety by dispatching an Arizona blacksmith — the first of an estimated 21 men to meet a similar fate at the hands of this angry young man. His parents really should have locked up their firearms.

1957: Foul balls batter unlucky Philadelphia Phillies fan. You should have stayed home, Alice! On this date in 1957, Alice Roth accompanied her husband — Philadelphia Bulletin sports editor Earl Roth — to a Phillies game, as she often did. They were seated in the press box behind the third-base dugout, along with their grandsons, when future Hall of Famer Richie Ashburn hit a foul ball that took aim directly at Alice’s nose. She was receiving emergency treatment for her broken proboscis when Ashburn again came up to bat, hit yet another foul, and this time got poor Alice in the leg . . . which also broke. Either he was one powerful hitter, or she had the most brittle bones ever.

Alice was taken to the hospital, and apparently recuperated nicely. Ashburn of course apologized, they later became friends, and Alice continued attending games thereafter. I suppose she simply learned to duck.

1962: East Germans kill man trying to cross Berlin Wall. Ah, the good old days of the Cold War. Peter Fechter was just 18 years old when he and another young man made their attempt at scaling the wall from East to West Berlin. The other man made it, but Peter was shot by an East German guard and left to bleed to death. The Wall stayed in place until November 9, 1989.

1987: Rudolf Hess, Hitler’s last living henchman, dies. One of Hitler’s top henchmen during World War II, he was sentenced at Nuremberg to life in prison. On this date in 1987, at the age of 93, he was found strangled to death by an electrical cord. His death was ruled a suicide, though some suspected foul play. Either way, 93 years were more than enough for this Nazi.

And finally:

1998: President Clinton testifies before grand jury. Ah, yes . . . the Lewinsky affair. Not to mention the allegations of illegal real estate deals, suspected “cronyism,” perjury, obstruction of justice . . . Nasty stuff. But Clinton survived the impeachment proceeding, completed his term of office, and is still married to Hillary, who later served as the U.S. Secretary of State. Their estimated net worth today is around $120 million, so whatever they may or may not have done during their White House years, they haven’t suffered financially.

America: truly the land of opportunity.

Just sayin’ . . .

Brendochka
8/17/24

You mean you haven’t been following what’s been going on in Ukraine for the past 2-1/2 years?

Oh, that’s right — you rely on Russian news, from state-controlled Russian media. So you may not have heard about all of this:

Or the thousands upon thousands of these . . .

. . . left behind by your Russian troops in places like Kharkiv, and Bucha, and Mariupol, and Bakhmut, and Avdiivka, and so many more.

*. *. *

And now you’re wondering why this is happening to you:

And I’m sorry — truly sorry — if these pictures offend you. And I am so very sorry that the good Russian people are miserable and frightened because of the fact that the people of Ukraine are now — after 2-1/2 years of indescribable suffering — bringing your government’s war back onto your territory, where it started.

It is not fair for innocent civilians — women, children, grandparents — of any country to have to pay the price for the horrors inflicted by their leaders.

But the Russian people need to know the truth. This is all the result of Moscow’s “special military operation,” begun on February 24, 2022, because of Vladimir Putin’s insane compulsion to become “Tsar of all the Russias” . . . to take back lands that no longer belong to Russia, and some that never did . . .

. . . and ultimately, to rule the world.

You need to know.

Just sayin’ . . .

Brendochka
8/17/24

On August 1, 2024, sixteen political prisoners were released from Russian prisons in exchange for eight Russian criminals being held for various crimes in several different countries, in what was the biggest and most complex hostage exchange since the end of the Cold War.

See that man in the blue tee shirt (center front) and the obviously scared little boy holding his hand? They are Artyom and Daniel, father and son of the Dultsev family, recently returned to Russia after years of living abroad as “illegals,” first in Argentina and more recently in Slovenia — although Daniel and his sister Sofia were unaware until that very day that they were Russian and not Argentinian, and . . . well, I’ve already told their story (“The Children of Spies,” 8/7/24), and the Dultsevs are not the subject of this one.

To Artyom’s left (our right) in the first picture, in the striped jacket and baseball cap, is the real star of the exchange, Vadim Krasikov — the Russian hitman, until that day serving a life sentence in Germany for the murder of a Chechen emigre on the orders of the man with his back to us in the picture: Vladimir Putin. Krasikov seems to have been the linchpin upon which the success of the whole complicated transaction rested.

Both of those men — Krasikov and Dultsev — have become well-known as a result of this momentous event. But not the others, and we may never know exactly who they are, or why they were so important to Putin that he agreed to accept just eight of his people in exchange for sixteen of ours.

Except for the seemingly shy fellow with the shaved head, second from left, trying to remain invisible behind the man in the khaki shirt. He has just been outed by the Polish government, which has retroactively indicted him on espionage charges, some two weeks after letting him leave the country. His name is Pablo Gonzalez . . . or Pavel Rubtsov . . . depending on where he is.

He was born Pavel Rubtsov in 1982 in Moscow, but moved to Spain with his Spanish mother at age nine. There he became a citizen, receiving the Spanish name of Pablo Gonzalez Yague. He eventually became a journalist, working for outlets Publico, La Sexta and Gara, a Basque nationalist newspaper. [Vanessa Gera, Associated Press, August 14, 2024.]

On February 28, 2022, Rubtsov — let’s call him by his original name — was arrested in Poland, where he had lived since 2019, on charges of espionage. He was accused of being an agent of the Main Intelligence Directorate of the General Staff of the Russian Federation (GRU), who “carried out activities for Russia using his journalistic status. As a result, he was able to move freely around Europe and the world, including zones affected by armed conflicts and areas of political tension.” He had been scheduled to cross the border into Ukraine that day with a group of reporters. [Graham Keeley, VOA News, March 9, 2022.]

Authorities alleged that while in Poland he had “obtained information the use of which by the Russian secret services could have a direct negative impact on the internal and external security and defense of our country” and that he was about to travel to Ukraine to “continue his activities.” [VOA News, id.]

Rubtsov, of course, has consistently denied all of the allegations against him . . . which immediately brings to mind the cases of Evan Gershkovich, Alsu Kurmasheva, and other legitimate journalists who have been falsely accused and convicted of espionage in Russia. The facts and circumstances of their cases are vastly different, of course. But is it not also understandable that Rubtsov would now claim, under the protection of his journalistic credentials, to have been similarly falsely charged?

On the other hand, if he hasn’t lived in or been connected to Russia since he was nine years old, why would he have been included by Putin in the exchange?

And — as the real point of this whole exercise — why on earth would the Polish authorities file new charges against him after releasing him, now that he is safely out of their grasp in Mother Russia?

And therein lies the most perplexing question of all: Why now?

A prosecutor in the city of Lublin, Poland, filed the indictment on August 9th. In accordance with Polish privacy laws, the indicted individual was identified only as “Pablo G. Y. and Pavel R..” [A.P., id.] But it is said to be clear from other details that the case is against Pavel Rubtsov. In the indictment, Rubtsov is accused of espionage, which in Poland carries a prison term of three to fifteen years.

Specifically, the defendant in that case is accused of “providing information to Russian military intelligence from April 2016 to February 2022 in Przemysl, Warsaw and elsewhere, ‘which could cause damage to the Republic of Poland, including as a NATO member state.’” It was not indicated whether Rubtsov would be tried in absentia. [A.P., id.]

And to add to the mystery, the prosecutor’s office advised that separate investigations are underway into an unspecified number of other people, including a woman named only as Magdalena Ch. — apparently known as Rubtsov’s ex-girlfriend.

Perhaps Rubtsov, or Gonzalez, or whoever he is has only been belatedly charged because of his association with these “other people.” If so, that would totally blow the possibility of his being an innocent journalist clear out of the water.

And so, the plot thickens.

Just sayin’ . . .

Brendochka
8/17/24

Well, you just keep them locked up. That’s all.

Just a few days short of five months ago, on March 22nd, gunmen stormed the Crocus City Hall entertainment venue in the Krasnogorsk suburb of Moscow, Russia, killing more than 140 people and setting fire to the building. They made their escape from the city, but were later apprehended and brought back to Moscow — somewhat the worse for having been brutalized by their captors — where they were identified as being Tajik members of ISIS-K: Islamic State-Khorasan.

Moscow had become a victim of Islamist terrorism.

For the past few months, there has been little or no publicity concerning the suspects. But now we have learned that they were brought to court yesterday — “dressed in prison clothes and shackled hand and foot” — where a judge extended their detention until November 22, 2024. [RFE/RL, August 16, 2024.]

This is not an unusual procedure in criminal cases in Russia. Extension of detainment without establishment of a trial date can be ordered for any number of reasons: frequently to allow the prosecution to build — or sometimes fabricate — a stronger case against the defendants.

In this case, where the prosecution alleges that the attack was planned and financed by ISIS-K — and that there was also purportedly Ukrainian involvement — there most likely are complex political and diplomatic issues to be considered in addition to the simpler question of guilt or innocence of the individuals. So it may well be some time before they ever come to trial.

Assuming they survive that long.

Just sayin’ . . .

Brendochka
8/17/24

What can you say about someone — and you must know by now who I mean — who, first of all, spent his youth evading the draft because he allegedly suffered from “bone spurs” (a new term for cowardice), and then has the cojones to stand up before the world today and say that the civilian Presidential Medal of Freedom is better than the Congressional Medal of Honor, because the recipients of the latter are “either in bad shape because they’ve been hit so many times by bullets, or they’re dead.”

I am, for one of the few times in my life, speechless.

Just sayin’ (or, for once, not) . . .

Brendochka
8/16/24

Have you noticed how quiet things have been in the Kremlin lately? No major pronouncements from Press Secretary Dmitry Peskov; no edicts from President Vladimir Putin; no word from Defense Minister Andrei Belousov as to the progress of Russia’s little adventure in Ukraine. Not even a threat of nuclear annihilation from that ever-present Voice of Doom, Dmitry Medvedev.

What’s going on, fellas? Could it be because that little “adventure” isn’t going so well right now, and they haven’t quite figured out what to do about it? Because their “special military operation” has come home — literally — to visit for a while on Russian soil? Or maybe they’re all just a wee bit shame-faced at having underestimated the Ukrainians once again and failed to anticipate that possibility?

Or all of the above?

Whatever the reason, you may view the lull as a brief respite, or as the ominous quiet before the next storm. Since we’re talking about Russia, I’m more inclined toward the latter. But we shall see . . .

Just sayin’ . . .

Brendochka
8/16/24

Today — August 16th — turns out to be noted for a great many things. For example, it is:

National Bratwurst Day. I could certainly sink my teeth into that one. A little sauerkraut, a bit of mustard, some nice fried potatoes on the side, and three or four Tums tablets for dessert, and you’ve got the perfect meal.

National Airborne Day. Who do they think I am — the Flying Nun? It does look like fun, though.

National Roller Coaster Day. Pass. I rode on one — just once — and it wasn’t half the size of today’s monster rides. That was enough. Screamed my bloody head off, made a complete fool of myself . . . but at least I didn’t throw up that Bratwurst.

National Rum Day. That’s better. A nice Planter’s Punch goes down so smoothly on a hot summer day.

Hawaii Statehood Day. Happy birthday, and mahalo for being our 50th state.

*. *. *

Now, those are all great fun. But the one that caught my attention was:

Tell a Joke Day. Because just yesterday, I happened to run across an article on “How AI is helping comedians write jokes.”

I kid you not. They — those diabolical Dr. Frankensteins who are bending our minds with all of the pictures and videos that look so real, but not quite — are now trying to convince us that AI has a sense of humor.

Here’s a sample of what you get if you ask AI to write a political joke:

“Why did the politician bring a ladder to the debate?” “To make sure he could reach new heights with his promises!” [Megan Lawton, BBC News, August 15, 2024.]

Nice try, folks. And it does exhibit a certain understanding of the subject matter. But is it going to reduce an audience to side-splitting guffaws? Sorry, no . . . not even an appreciative chuckle. It can clear a room in 30 seconds flat, though.

However, it will never compete with “A priest, a minister and a rabbi walked into a bar . . .”

Still, according to Canadian comedian Anesti Danelis, “that doesn’t mean there is no room for AI in comedy.” [BBC, id.]

It seems that comedians have been experimenting with AI technology to brainstorm ideas and even to write scripts. And Danelis has even asked ChatGPT to write a show for him. He has been performing the result, which he calls “Artificially Intelligent,” throughout this summer.

He admits that there were some “rubbish” jokes, but found the AI tool useful for brainstorming. He said he asked it to “write me five songs about bisexual dilemmas, or being an immigrant child, and it gave me ideas that I would have never thought of.” [BBC, id.]

What surprised him most was AI’s understanding of how to devise a show:

“I told it to make me a running order, and it explained where every song should go and why, and it made total sense. I was surprised by how much it could explain the reasoning behind it.” [BBC, id.]

Now, those of you who know me at all, also know that I get a bad case of the jitters when anyone starts talking about the latest hi-tech developments. As much as I still love R2D2 and C3PO, and still add a Roomba vacuum to my Christmas wish list every year, I am not ready to accept a world in which I don’t know whether my next-door neighbors are real people or someone’s virtual representations.

And then it dawned on me: even AI, as brilliant as it is, had to be created by real, flesh-and-blood human beings. Without us, they cease to exist . . . if they ever did.

And Anesti Danelis is the first to admit that his comedy show still relies on his performance. Without the funny guy delivering the lines and endearing himself to the audience through the strength of his own personality, the funniest routine will still fall flat. As Danelis says:

“I learned through the process that human creativity can’t be replicated or replaced, and in the end about 20% of the show was pure AI, and the other 80% was a mix.” [BBC, id.]

And therein lies our salvation. Because without our human brain power and imagination, there would be no AI. And those bots still don’t have feelings — we can make them smile, or frown, or even cry, but they don’t know why they’re doing it.

I still have one concern, though: If the day ever comes that those AI beings start recreating humans . . .

Just sayin’ . . .

Brendochka
8/16/24